By 2022, some roads will be self-driving-only. —Alyssa Vance

Created by lukeprog on 2012-11-24; known on 2023-01-01

• lukeprog estimated 75% on 2012-11-24
• jpet estimated 5% and said “This seems to require a conjunction of events: self-driving cars are popular enough to warrant their own roads, yet inflexible enough to need them.” on 2012-11-24
• kilobug estimated 5% and said “2022 is too close for that, at least I assume you’re speaking of public roads, not private circuits.” on 2012-11-25
• lukeprog said “‘Some’ is an easy condition to meet.” on 2012-11-26
• Qiaochu estimated 90% and said “Agree with luke. “Some,” interpreted literally, would include something like one specific road on one Google campus. ” on 2012-11-26
• Tuxedage estimated 80% on 2013-01-03
• Malgidus estimated 95% and said “Agree with Qiaochu” on 2013-03-27
• Flipnash estimated 80% on 2013-08-17
• elephantower said “I’m assuming this refers to public or private roads?” on 2016-07-07
• themusicgod1 estimated 71% on 2016-10-10
• pranomostro estimated 10% on 2018-11-10
• n99 estimated 0% and said “If you’re talking about public roads” on 2022-10-28