Apple will hit 450 by February 2013.

Created by andrevan on 2012-11-24; known on 2013-02-15; judged right by andrevan on 2013-02-15.

• andrevan estimated 75% on 2012-11-24
• Qiaochu estimated 20% and said “I’m assuming this means by February 1st. ” on 2012-11-26
• RandomThinker estimated 25% on 2012-11-26
• Michael Dickens estimated 20% on 2012-11-29
• Slahzer estimated 30% on 2013-01-26
• Tuxedage estimated 80% on 2013-01-27
• andrevan   judged this prediction right on 2013-02-15.
• RandomThinker said “Pretty amazing prediction!” on 2013-02-24
• andrevan said “I also won a bet that AAPL would go below 400 before going above 600 (made after it went into the 500s).” on 2013-04-27
• RandomThinker said “@andrevan what tipped you off?” on 2013-04-27
• andrevan said “Complex multipart thesis involving growth of Android, stagnation of innovation, Apple Maps, death of Steve Jobs, and generally outsize expectations out of pace with reality.” on 2013-05-29
• RandomThinker said “@andrevan that it’s going down I can see, but down to 450 is quite a bit, and such a short time frame! very impressive.” on 2013-05-29
• RandomThinker said “@andrevan i did one for FB too, but it was already on the way down after the IPO. Yours is more surprising. http://predictionbook.com/predictions/7115” on 2013-05-29