There will be at least one US wildfire larger than 100,000 acres in 2016.

Created by btrettel on 2015-05-01; known on 2017-01-01; judged right by btrettel on 2017-01-01.

• btrettel estimated 78% on 2015-05-01
• btrettel changed the deadline from “on 2016-12-31” and changed their prediction from “There will be a US wildfire larger than 100,000 acres in 2016.” on 2015-05-01
• btrettel estimated 44% and said “Made a math error in the original prediction.” on 2015-05-01
• JoshuaZ estimated 52% on 2015-05-01
• jesselevine estimated 80% on 2015-05-04
• btrettel said “Multiple met this criteria according to Wikipedia. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_wildfires#Canada_and_the_United_States” on 2017-01-01
• btrettel   judged this prediction right on 2017-01-01.