I will read some more Less Wrong articles by the end of today.
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-05-02; known on 2015-05-03; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2015-05-04.
- PseudonymousUser estimated 70% on 2015-05-02
- JoshuaZ estimated 55% and said “Base rate. ” on 2015-05-02
- PseudonymousUser said “I suppose, however, I am making an effort to get some articles in, reminders and all. So I think that should modify the “base rate” in some regard.” on 2015-05-03
- PseudonymousUser judged this prediction right on 2015-05-04.