PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

SlateStarCodex blog response to https://srconstantin.wordpress.com/2015/05/04/values-affirmation-is-powerful/ on date in May 2015 according to date I see on the post if/when it exists

Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-05-05; known on 2015-06-01; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-06-01.

  • KnaveOfAllTrades estimated 40% on 2015-05-05
  • KnaveOfAllTrades said “Context: On FB, it was linked by Eliezer, and was linked by Qiaochu, who summoned SlateStarCodex’s author to the thread” on 2015-05-05
  • KnaveOfAllTrades   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-06-01.