I will make a 100 predictions here by the end of May. i.e., around 4 per day.
Created by Pradeep_Kumar on 2015-05-06; known on 2015-05-31; judged right by Pradeep_Kumar on 2015-05-23.
- Pradeep_Kumar estimated 75% on 2015-05-06
- JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2015-05-06
- KnaveOfAllTrades estimated 5% on 2015-05-07
- Pradeep_Kumar judged this prediction right on 2015-05-23.
- KnaveOfAllTrades said “You made dozens of private predictions in the past couple days, as I expected when I saw the number mysteriously going up. Bullshit.” on 2015-05-23
- KnaveOfAllTrades said “Okay sorry that’s overly confident, maybe they were all about personal or mundane things or something. But still, seems pretty sketch they all mysteriously happened as the deadline approached” on 2015-05-23
- KnaveOfAllTrades said “I should have PB’ed this outcome when I started suspecting it a couple days ago though hahaha” on 2015-05-23
- Pradeep_Kumar said “Hey KnaveOfAllTrades, I made lots of predictions before each IPL playoff game. Stuff like runs by batsman (0-10;10-20), overs and wickets by bowlers, run rate, innings total, match outcomes, etc. Adds up really quickly. A bit more faith, maybe :-) ” on 2015-05-24
- Pradeep_Kumar said “That 4 predictions per day was wild planning fallacy, though. Have learnt better :-) ” on 2015-05-24
- KnaveOfAllTrades said “Haha fair enough dude. Peace” on 2015-05-25