By 2033, the EM drive will be scientifically accepted and used to power vehicles.

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-05-11; known on 2033-01-01; judged unknown by btrettel on 2015-05-11.

• JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2015-05-11
• JoshuaZ said “Context: http://www.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/35leam/no_warp_drive_here_nasa_downplays_impossible_em/cr5qr2m $50 bet with Arzu1982” on 2015-05-11
• arzu1982   judged this prediction right on 2015-05-11.
• btrettel   judged this prediction unknown on 2015-05-11.
• JoshuaZ said “arzu1982, the system works where you put down your probability estimate, not judging whether it is right or wrong. The judgment system is used when the prediction comes due. ” on 2015-05-11