Zhōnghuá will be the world's biggest economy in both PPP and GDP terms in 2022 as measured by the IMF. It is already the world's biggest economy in PPP terms and 2nd in nominal terms (2015). Lant Pritchett and Lawrence H. Summers disagree.

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-05-14; known on 2022-12-27; judged unknown by JoshuaZ on 2015-07-19.

• Raahul_Kumar estimated 99% on 2015-05-14
• JoshuaZ estimated 35% on 2015-05-15
• JoshuaZ estimated 35% on 2015-05-15
• doctorpat estimated 60% on 2015-05-15
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 80% and said “Lant Pritchett and Lawrence Summers will both try to avoid any mention of their previous prediction. They will not accept responsibility for a total failure of a prediction. I will hold them to account and shame them publicly.” on 2015-05-17
• Raahul_Kumar changed their prediction from “Zhōnghuá will be the world's biggest economy in both PPP and GDP terms in 2022 as measured by the IMF. It is already the world's biggest economy in PPP terms and 2nd in nominal terms today(2015). Lant Pritchett and Lawrence H. Summers predit the oppo” on 2015-07-19
• Luau   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-07-19.
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction unknown on 2015-07-19.