Democrat to win popular vote in 2016 with at least 57% of the popular vote.

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-05-20; known on 2016-11-12; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2016-11-09.

• JoshuaZ estimated 5% on 2015-05-20
• JoshuaZ said “Context: Stat’s claim http://www.usmessageboard.com/threads/hey-stat-i-think-you-better-retire-your-sig-pic-i-told-you-guys-hillary-was-toast.419904/page-5#post-11437171 where he assigns a very high chance to this. ” on 2015-05-20
• orthonormal estimated 5% and said “http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States_presidential_elections_by_popular_vote_margin” on 2015-05-21
• jesselevine estimated 3% on 2015-05-22
• HonoreDB estimated 4% on 2015-05-23
• David estimated 7% on 2015-06-07
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-11-09.