Before January 1, 2020 the Dow will stay within 12,500 and 29,000
Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-05-25; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2020-01-01.
- JoshuaZ estimated 62% on 2015-05-25
- jesselevine estimated 70% on 2015-05-25
- David estimated 70% on 2015-06-05
- aarongertler estimated 60% on 2015-06-21
- equivrel-markets estimated 95% on 2016-02-14
- PseudonymousUser estimated 60% on 2016-02-14
- PseudonymousUser estimated 89% on 2019-04-11
- JoshuaZ judged this prediction right on 2020-01-01.
- JoshuaZ said “Note that this was just barely true on the upper end. In retrospect I maybe was overconfident here. ” on 2020-01-01