Over the next 20 years loop quantum gravity will dominate the efforts to reconcile Relativity with Quantum Mechanics.

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2012-11-29; known on 2032-01-01

• NathanMcKnight estimated 70% on 2012-11-29
• JoshuaZ said “This seems like a hard one to judge. How does one determine what dominates the field? ” on 2013-01-27
• NathanMcKnight said “Either prominent scientists state that it’s the dominant theory, represents the mainstream of the field, or other such language, or judge it by number of publications. If it’s hard to judge, then it’s not “dominant”. ” on 2013-05-16
• JoshuaZ estimated 35% on 2013-05-16
• RandomThinker said “what happened to string theory? Is that just for NOVA tv shows now?” on 2013-05-16
• JoshuaZ said “No, still going strong, but LQG is probably the runner up (hence my estimate). I’m not sure why Nathan assigns this change such a high probability. ” on 2013-05-17
• NathanMcKnight said “Joshua: I find LQG personally convincing because it agrees some intuitive suspicions I’ve had for a long time. Namely, that there are quanta of spacetime and—as I understand—it implies exceeding c isn’t at all impossible. ” on 2013-10-01
• JoshuaZ said “That seems strange. Almost any final theory is going to need to quantize spacetime in some fashion. That applies to string theory also. ” on 2013-10-01
• NathanMcKnight said “As I understand it, string theorists usually try to quantize space indirectly through higher spacetime dimensions whereas LQG is a relatively straightforward quantization of volume in 4-space. ” on 2013-10-27
• themusicgod1 estimated 46% on 2016-10-10