I will still live in Berlin at the end of 2014

Created by ChristianKl on 2012-11-29; known on 2014-12-31; judged right by ChristianKl on 2015-01-01.

• ChristianKl estimated 50% on 2012-11-29
• dhoe estimated 60% and said “Knowing nothing about you, I assume it’s more likely you won’t move (status quo bias).” on 2012-12-06
• ChristianKl   judged this prediction right on 2015-01-01.