Discovering the water and/or oxygen traces in some exoplanets

Created by tsathoggua on 2012-12-01; known on 2013-05-16; judged right by Tuxedage on 2013-05-26.

• tsathoggua estimated 20% on 2012-12-01
• NathanMcKnight estimated 10% on 2012-12-01
• ChristianKl estimated 2% and said “If I understand right we know that exoplanets exists because of their gravitational pull. We don’t really have a way to know much more than their mass.” on 2012-12-02
• NathanMcKnight said “There are a # of detection methods…angular velocity, redshift, direct imaging… Exoplanet folks are trying really hard to get workable spectra, & have published prelim results. They probably jumped the gun. But it’s coming.” on 2012-12-03
• procran estimated 1% on 2013-02-12
• NathanMcKnight said “Looks like this one is true—http://www.redorbit.com/news/space/1112804014/exoplanet-spectrum-hints-at-its-origin-031513/” on 2013-04-13
• Tuxedage   judged this prediction right on 2013-05-26.