Bernie Sanders to still be in the race by March 8th, 2016

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-06-06; known on 2016-03-08; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2016-03-08.

• JoshuaZ estimated 80% on 2015-06-06
• JoshuaZ said “Bet with jpe77. Loser donates $20 to charity of the winner’s choice. http://www.reddit.com/r/politics/comments/38sfn8/does_bernie_sanders_stand_a_chance/crxl9lr?context=3” on 2015-06-06
• David estimated 40% on 2015-06-07
• orthonormal estimated 70% on 2015-06-21
• RandomThinker estimated 65% and said “Sure, he’s stubborn. Not spending that much money, has hardcore supporters, so why not stick it out? ” on 2015-07-05
• Faceh estimated 90% and said “His supporters might not LET him drop out at this point. Even if he withdraws from the race, I bet he still gets tons of votes.” on 2016-02-20
• cinder estimated 80% on 2016-02-25
• Temeraire estimated 98% and said “Is it poor form to snipe in with very high probabilities near the event determination? This looks pretty certain now! But I am very impressed with JoshuaZ.” on 2016-02-25
• Sniffnoy estimated 95% on 2016-02-29
• Lissy estimated 75% on 2016-02-29
• brslvrsl estimated 75% on 2016-02-29
• NathanMcKnight estimated 50% on 2016-02-29
• equivrel estimated 93% on 2016-03-04
• JoshuaZ estimated 96% on 2016-03-04
• leo_gri estimated 91% on 2016-03-05
• JoshuaZ estimated 98% and said “Updating based on yesterdays results.” on 2016-03-06
• themusicgod1 estimated 51% on 2016-03-07
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction right on 2016-03-08.