Bernie Sanders to still be in the race by March 8th, 2016

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-06-06; known on 2016-03-08; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2016-03-08.

  • JoshuaZ estimated 80% on 2015-06-06
  • JoshuaZ said “Bet with jpe77. Loser donates $20 to charity of the winner’s choice. http://www.reddit.com/r/politics/comments/38sfn8/does_bernie_sanders_stand_a_chance/crxl9lr?context=3on 2015-06-06
  • David estimated 40% on 2015-06-07
  • orthonormal estimated 70% on 2015-06-21
  • RandomThinker estimated 65% and said “Sure, he’s stubborn. Not spending that much money, has hardcore supporters, so why not stick it out? on 2015-07-05
  • Faceh estimated 90% and said “His supporters might not LET him drop out at this point. Even if he withdraws from the race, I bet he still gets tons of votes.on 2016-02-20
  • cinder estimated 80% on 2016-02-25
  • Temeraire estimated 98% and said “Is it poor form to snipe in with very high probabilities near the event determination? This looks pretty certain now! But I am very impressed with JoshuaZ.on 2016-02-25
  • Sniffnoy estimated 95% on 2016-02-29
  • Lissy estimated 75% on 2016-02-29
  • brslvrsl estimated 75% on 2016-02-29
  • NathanMcKnight estimated 50% on 2016-02-29
  • equivrel estimated 93% on 2016-03-04
  • JoshuaZ estimated 96% on 2016-03-04
  • leo_gri estimated 91% on 2016-03-05
  • JoshuaZ estimated 98% and said “Updating based on yesterdays results.on 2016-03-06
  • themusicgod1 estimated 51% on 2016-03-07
  • JoshuaZ   judged this prediction right on 2016-03-08.

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