John Kerry won't be the Secretary of State but will win re-election in 2014.

Created by alecbrooks on 2012-12-02; known on 2014-11-04; judged wrong by alecbrooks on 2013-01-29.

• alecbrooks estimated 73% on 2012-12-02
• alecbrooks   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-01-29.