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Plastic lightbulbs will be for sale by the start of 2014 http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-20553143

Created by beo_shaffer on 2012-12-03; known on 2014-01-01; judged wrong by beo_shaffer on 2014-01-01.

  • beo_shaffer estimated 85% on 2012-12-03
  • DaFranker estimated 75% and said “They have a partner, but I’m not so sure it’ll be commercially ready by then even if there are no big surprises or hurdles (which there usually are).” on 2012-12-06
  • beo_shaffer   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-01-01.