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My research this summer will result in a published paper

Created by ejlflop on 2015-06-11; known on 2016-06-16; judged wrong by ejlflop on 2016-06-16.

  • ejlflop estimated 60% on 2015-06-11
  • JoshuaZ estimated 15% and said “Do you mean a paper published by that deadline? That’s an extremely tight deadline. ” on 2015-06-11
  • ejlflop said “A paper ‘in publication’ would count.” on 2015-06-11
  • ejlflop changed the deadline from “on 2016-01-01” on 2015-06-11
  • ejlflop said “I agree with the ‘tight deadline’ though, so have pushed back the date.” on 2015-06-11
  • JoshuaZ estimated 35% and said “Adjusting for new deadline. ” on 2015-06-11
  • aarongertler estimated 45% on 2015-06-21
  • elephantower said “Just curious, do the people predicting this actually know anything about “ejlflop” and their research?” on 2016-06-08
  • ejlflop   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-06-16.