Israel will not get in a large-scale war (ie >100 Israeli deaths) with any Arab state for the remainder of 2015.

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2015-06-15; known on 2016-01-01; judged right by Madplatypus on 2016-01-03.

• Jayson Virissimo estimated 85% on 2015-06-15
• jasticE estimated 90% on 2015-06-18
• kuudes said “Do you count Palestine as a state in this prediction or not?” on 2015-06-18
• David estimated 95% on 2015-06-23
• Madplatypus estimated 95% and said “Syria and Egypt, the classical antagonists, are in no position to launch any attack of that sort. ” on 2015-06-27
• TheBlackFox estimated 97% on 2015-07-01
• Madplatypus   judged this prediction right on 2016-01-03.