ISIS will control less territory at the end of 2015 than it does right now.

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2015-06-15; known on 2016-01-01; judged right by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-01-02.

• Jayson Virissimo estimated 65% on 2015-06-15
• JoshuaZ said “By what metric? Different maps seem to disagree on where exactly ISIS controls. ” on 2015-06-15
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 50% and said “JoshuaZ is right. Specify a data source with a map of ISIS current territory, so we can measure if it declines in a years time. By whose standard?” on 2015-06-19
• Madplatypus estimated 95% on 2015-06-27
• InquilineKea estimated 75% on 2015-07-10
• Raahul_Kumar said “http://press.ihs.com/press-release/aerospace-defense-security/islamic-states-caliphate-shrinks-14-percent-2015” on 2016-01-02
• Raahul_Kumar said “Jane’s states ISIS has lost territory, but this is a poorly specified prediction.” on 2016-01-02
• Raahul_Kumar   judged this prediction right on 2016-01-02.