ISIS will continue to exist through the end of 2015.

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2015-06-15; known on 2016-01-01; judged right by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-01-02.

• Jayson Virissimo estimated 90% on 2015-06-15
• JoshuaZ said “Defined how? ” on 2015-06-15
• splorridge estimated 99% on 2015-06-16
• Chri estimated 99% on 2015-06-16
• IRS estimated 98% on 2015-06-16
• jasticE estimated 97% on 2015-06-18
• jesselevine said “JoshuaZ’s question needs to be answered before this can even remotely be estimated” on 2015-06-19
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 100% and said “Unfortunately ISIS doesn’t seem to be under pressure. Indeed, until stronger action is taken it will probably last for years yet.” on 2015-06-19
• David estimated 95% on 2015-06-20
• Andrew MacFie estimated 99% on 2015-06-20
• NathanMcKnight estimated 99% on 2015-06-23
• Madplatypus said “This question is strange. I think it’s probable that they’ll technically exist, but there’s a decent chance all of their territorial holdings will be liberated.” on 2015-06-27
• Madplatypus said “And yes, they are under pressure. They’ve lost a lot of functional control, leadership, and material in just the past months.” on 2015-06-27
• marchdown estimated 97% on 2015-06-28
• Raahul_Kumar said “ISIS is still around and holding territory. I’m going to take the stance that it continues to exist as long as it controls some territory somewhere.” on 2016-01-02
• Raahul_Kumar   judged this prediction right on 2016-01-02.