Apple will buy Tesla by 2020

Created by ira on 2015-06-20; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Baeboo on 2020-01-02.

• ira estimated 80% on 2015-06-20
• JoshuaZ estimated 15% on 2015-06-20
• orthonormal estimated 10% and said “Is there any reason why one would expect it to be Apple in particular?” on 2015-06-21
• EloiseRosen estimated 8% on 2015-06-21
• David estimated 7% on 2015-07-03
• Afforess estimated 5% and said “Given Tesla’s market cap of ~$35B, this seems very unlikely.” on 2015-07-05
• RandomThinker estimated 11% and said “Nope. Not Apple’s style, too expensive, and hard to pick 1 company.” on 2015-07-05
• InquilineKea estimated 10% on 2015-07-11
• Medea estimated 10% on 2015-10-09
• themusicgod1 estimated 45% on 2016-07-09
• two2thehead said “Tough question. Apple seems to want to buy it and is keeping their in-house car as a back up.” on 2016-07-09
• pranomostro estimated 5% on 2018-12-08
• Baeboo estimated 4% on 2018-12-12
• Baeboo   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-02.