Conditional on neither Hillary or Bernie withdrawing before the Iowa caucus or either candidate running as an independent, Bernie Sanders will be the Democratic nominee for President.

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-06-22; known on 2016-07-29; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2016-07-27.

• JoshuaZ estimated 9% on 2015-06-22
• JoshuaZ said “See http://www.reddit.com/r/politics/comments/3akmqm/bernie_sanders_packs_thousands_into_a_denver/cseavdy?context=3 Note bet with arturovargas16.” on 2015-06-22
• JoshuaZ said “ If this happens, and Hillary is not Bernie’s VP then I pay him $40. If this happens and Bernie is not Hillary’s VP then he pays me $10. ” on 2015-06-22
• jesselevine estimated 4% and said “Colorado represent! but doubt this one. ” on 2015-06-23
• themusicgod1 estimated 36% on 2016-05-28
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-07-27.