PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

Greece will vote “no” on the Sunday referendum

Created by modulus on 2015-07-05; known on 2015-07-06; judged right by modulus on 2015-07-05.

  • modulus estimated 65% on 2015-07-05
  • Afforess estimated 70% and said “Based on previous referendums, it seems likely Greeks will reject the EU deal and vote “no”.” on 2015-07-05
  • Cyridius estimated 90% on 2015-07-05
  • Niebuhr estimated 50% and said “We learned from the 2012 election that concerted media efforts have an impact on public opinion. Polls ambiguous, and little time to develop opinion. I call a tossup.” on 2015-07-05
  • JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2015-07-05
  • kuudes estimated 50% on 2015-07-05
  • sh estimated 60% on 2015-07-05
  • modulus   judged this prediction right on 2015-07-05.