Greece reaches a deal with creditors including debt restructuring without the obligation to reduce public spending

Created by modulus on 2015-07-05; known on 2015-08-01; judged wrong by Afforess on 2015-07-20.

• modulus estimated 70% on 2015-07-05
• Afforess estimated 7% and said “Seems very unlikely, given the current referendum and default.” on 2015-07-05
• Cyridius estimated 10% on 2015-07-05
• kuudes said “I am not sure how this would be judged. They already have reduced public spending some amounts. It seems non-trivial to understand what are the terms of the different agreements.” on 2015-07-05
• silacoid estimated 5% and said “Incredibly unlikely” on 2015-07-12
• Afforess said “Didn’t happen. The new bailout includes more austerity, more reductions in public spending.http://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2015/07/15/423218128/greeces-parliament-poised-to-vote-on-austerity-measures” on 2015-07-20
• Afforess   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-07-20.
• kuudes said “There is still 12 days left, shouldn’t we wait until the end of the prediction, as it is possible though maybe rather unlikely that such a new proposition would happen?” on 2015-07-20