ECB to withdraw Greek ELA before the end of the week. Withdraw means complete end to ELA.

Created by modulus on 2015-07-06; known on 2015-07-11; judged wrong by modulus on 2015-07-11.

• modulus estimated 15% on 2015-07-06
• hattusili_III estimated 60% and said “fukcing bugogisie” on 2015-07-06
• kuudes estimated 40% and said “Per ESCB statute and ELA guidelines, there seems to be no specific reason to such a withdrawal unless extra action from Greece government or Bank of Greece. But I am currently rather uncertain of my understanding of the situation.” on 2015-07-06
• kuudes said “http://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2015/html/pr150706.en.html” on 2015-07-06
• RandomThinker estimated 15% and said “That’d be like administering a lethal injection” on 2015-07-07
• JoshuaZ estimated 35% on 2015-07-07
• kuudes estimated 10% and said “ft.com “Greece given 5-day deadline to avoid bankruptcy”: “[ECB Chair said] that [Greek banks] could survive to the end of the week but not much longer [and] that [ELA funding] could not be extended beyond the weekend.”” on 2015-07-08
• modulus   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-07-11.