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Extreme poverty(WB definition 1.90 per day) to be eliminated by 2025. Poverty declined from 36 % in 1990 to 15 per cent in 2011. Projections indicate that the global extreme poverty rate has fallen further, to 9.6%, as of 2015.

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-07-09; known on 2025-05-28

  • Raahul_Kumar estimated 100% on 2015-07-09
  • Raahul_Kumar changed the deadline from “on 2031-05-27” and changed their prediction from “Extreme poverty(1.25 per day) to be eliminated by 2031. Poverty declined from 36 per cent in 1990 to 15 per cent in 2011. Projections indicate that the global extreme poverty rate has fallen further, to 12 per cent, as of 2015. At the current rate of” on 2015-07-09
  • Raahul_Kumar estimated 100% and said “India played central role in poverty reduction:UNhttp://www.thestatesman.com/news/business/india-played-central-role-in-poverty-reduction-un/74198.html” on 2015-07-09
  • JoshuaZ said “Which metric of poverty are you intending to use for this prediction? ” on 2015-07-09
  • Raahul_Kumar said “I say in the prediction $1.25 per day. But the World Bank now uses $1.90, so to be compatible it is now $1.90.” on 2015-10-05
  • Raahul_Kumar said “World Bank finds extremely poor now only 9.6% from 12.8% in 2012.https://tinyurl.com/q2hn92q” on 2015-10-05
  • Raahul_Kumar changed the deadline from “on 2031-05-27” on 2015-10-05
  • Raahul_Kumar changed the deadline from “on 2025-05-28” and changed their prediction from “Extreme poverty(1.25 per day) to be eliminated by 2031. Poverty declined from 36 per cent in 1990 to 15 per cent in 2011. Projections indicate that the global extreme poverty rate has fallen further, to 12 per cent, as of 2015.” on 2015-10-05
  • JoshuaZ estimated 55% and said “Interpreting eliminated to mean under 0.5%, so rounds to 0%. ” on 2015-10-05
  • Raahul_Kumar said “0.5% is 36 million people. That isn’t what I’m predicting. Below statistical measuring accuracy, which means less than a million. That is a far smaller number than 0.5%.” on 2015-10-08
  • JoshuaZ estimated 15% and said “Reducing probability based on clarified defintion. ” on 2015-10-08
  • Medea estimated 10% on 2015-10-08
  • NickN estimated 3% on 2020-08-16