In the next 3 years, someone will use goodai.com's AI framework to build an AI that will be dangerous and/or powerful enough that the US government will acknowledge it as a major problem.

Created by timujin on 2015-07-09; known on 2018-07-09; judged wrong by moyamo on 2018-08-12.

• timujin estimated 1% on 2015-07-09
• VoidChronos estimated 0% and said “I thinkthe odds are even less than that, but PB supports only integer values” on 2015-07-09
• VoidChronos said “0_0 it recorded it @ 0. Nooo. Well… the actual value should be 0.3” on 2015-07-09
• JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2015-07-09
• themusicgod1 estimated 50% and said “To be fair the US government thinks “encryption” is a major problem.” on 2016-07-10
• moyamo estimated 1% on 2018-07-02
• moyamo   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-08-12.