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I will weigh more than 190 lbs on 2020-07-01

Created by btrettel on 2015-07-11; known on 2020-07-02; judged wrong by btrettel on 2020-07-02.

  • btrettel estimated 5% on 2015-07-11
  • btrettel said “This would set me BMI at about 30, which is the cut-off for obesity. I was 153 lb when I last weighed myself a month ago.” on 2015-07-11
  • btrettel said “Historical data: https://www.beeminder.com/btrettel/goals/weight” on 2015-07-11
  • btrettel said “Typo above: “set my BMI”” on 2015-07-11
  • EloiseRosen estimated 15% on 2015-07-14
  • btrettel changed the deadline from “on 2020-07-01” and changed their prediction from “I will weigh more than 190 lb on 2020-07-01” on 2015-07-15
  • btrettel   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-07-02.