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There will be a De Facto independent Kurdistan incorporating territory in both former Syria and Iraq through 2020.

Created by Madplatypus on 2015-07-12; known on 2021-01-01; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2023-08-05.

  • Madplatypus estimated 80% on 2015-07-12
  • NathanMcKnight estimated 10% and said “I’d put higher odds on a Kurdish state incorporating parts of either Syria or Iraq or both, and in any case, I think it’ll be another decade at least. on 2015-11-16
  • JoshuaZ estimated 42% on 2015-11-16
  • themusicgod1 estimated 60% on 2016-06-19
  • pranomostro estimated 20% on 2018-11-25
  • JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2023-08-05.