Kurdistan will be a UN member by 2018.

Created by Madplatypus on 2015-07-12; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-01-01.

  • Madplatypus estimated 75% on 2015-07-12
  • Madplatypus changed the deadline from “on 2018-01-01” and changed their prediction from “There will be an internationally recognized independent Kurdistan by 2018.” on 2015-07-12
  • jbeshir estimated 30% on 2015-07-12
  • quanticle estimated 30% on 2015-07-12
  • JoshuaZ estimated 35% on 2015-07-12
  • InquilineKea estimated 35% on 2015-07-13
  • Afforess estimated 25% on 2015-08-17
  • Afforess said “Not if Turkey has any say in the matter, they won’t.on 2015-08-17
  • NathanMcKnight estimated 20% and said “It’ll be a few more years. on 2015-11-16
  • JoshuaZ estimated 22% on 2015-11-16
  • Afforess estimated 10% and said “Odds seem lower. Turkey seems dead set on preventing this from ever occurring.on 2016-02-28
  • themusicgod1 estimated 43% on 2016-06-19
  • two2thehead estimated 5% and said “Near zero but I’ll be conservative.on 2016-06-19
  • two2thehead said “At least with the known on time period (2018-01-02).on 2016-06-19
  • Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-01-01.

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