Kurdistan will be a UN member by 2018.

Created by Madplatypus on 2015-07-12; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-01-01.

• Madplatypus estimated 75% on 2015-07-12
• Madplatypus changed the deadline from “on 2018-01-01” and changed their prediction from “There will be an internationally recognized independent Kurdistan by 2018.” on 2015-07-12
• jbeshir estimated 30% on 2015-07-12
• quanticle estimated 30% on 2015-07-12
• JoshuaZ estimated 35% on 2015-07-12
• InquilineKea estimated 35% on 2015-07-13
• Afforess estimated 25% on 2015-08-17
• Afforess said “Not if Turkey has any say in the matter, they won’t.” on 2015-08-17
• NathanMcKnight estimated 20% and said “It’ll be a few more years. ” on 2015-11-16
• JoshuaZ estimated 22% on 2015-11-16
• Afforess estimated 10% and said “Odds seem lower. Turkey seems dead set on preventing this from ever occurring.” on 2016-02-28
• themusicgod1 estimated 43% on 2016-06-19
• two2thehead estimated 5% and said “Near zero but I’ll be conservative.” on 2016-06-19
• two2thehead said “At least with the known on time period (2018-01-02).” on 2016-06-19
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-01-01.