Major personalities on predictionbook (gwern, JoshuaZ, etc) will migrate over to another prediction-based website by 2020

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-13; known on 2021-01-01

• InquilineKea estimated 40% on 2015-07-13
• EloiseRosen said “Be more specific about that “etc” or we won’t know if this has happened or not. What if gwern and JoshuaZ leave but no one else does? You need an exact list.” on 2015-07-13
• JoshuaZ said “Also, what happens if I just disappear? Do you need to find me explicitly on another prediction site? ” on 2015-07-13