Greece will default

Created by mareyes on 2015-07-13; known on 2016-07-13; judged wrong by elephantower on 2016-07-14.

• mareyes estimated 95% on 2015-07-13
• kuudes said “if it currently is in default per http://predictionbook.com/predictions/114795 what does this prediction mean? When should this prediction be due?” on 2015-07-14
• themusicgod1 estimated 7% on 2016-04-16
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 0% and said “On the assumption they mean missed payments from 07-2015 to today.” on 2016-07-06
• elephantower   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-07-14.
• elephantower said “Using RK’s assumption” on 2016-07-14