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http://fivethirtyeight.com/ to be more popular in 2020 than 2015

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-15; known on 2021-01-01

  • InquilineKea estimated 40% on 2015-07-15
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 40% on 2015-11-27
  • JoshuaZ estimated 51% on 2015-11-27
  • themusicgod1 estimated 58% on 2016-04-15
  • JoshuaZ estimated 52% on 2016-04-15
  • jesselevine estimated 70% and said “I agree that it will be more popular, and i followed 528 on the NYT blog before it went to ESPN. Nate Silver predicted 2012 election perfectly. I really don’t understand why he says Clinton has a 99% of winning every damn race though” on 2016-04-15
  • jesselevine said “I think I remember reading on their methodology the polls being ~45% accurate and their polls plus model being I think 57% accurate he said” on 2016-04-15
  • two2thehead estimated 52% and said “Probably.” on 2016-05-14