Cascadia megathrust earthquake (of magnitude 8+) to hit Seattle before 2030

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-15; known on 2031-01-01

• InquilineKea estimated 35% on 2015-07-15
• JoshuaZ said “Is there a minimum intensity for this prediction? ” on 2015-07-15
• InquilineKea changed the deadline from “on 2031-01-01” and changed their prediction from “Cascadia megathrust earthquake to hit Seattle before 2030” on 2015-07-15
• David estimated 25% on 2015-07-19
• JoshuaZ estimated 19% on 2015-10-25