No new elementary particles to be discovered before December 20, 2016

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-07-19; known on 2017-01-01; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2017-01-02.

• JoshuaZ estimated 85% on 2015-07-19
• RoryS estimated 80% on 2015-07-19
• espore estimated 65% on 2015-08-02
• JoshuaZ changed the deadline from “on 2016-01-01” on 2016-03-29
• JoshuaZ said “Correcting end date.” on 2016-03-29
• themusicgod1 said “http://phys.org/news/2016-02-scientists-subatomic-particle.html ” on 2016-04-15
• themusicgod1 said “http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/new-particles-found-at-large-hadron-collider/” on 2016-04-15
• themusicgod1   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-04-15.
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction unknown on 2016-04-15.
• JoshuaZ said “Particles in that article are not elementary but are made up of quarks. Not relevant for prediction. ” on 2016-04-15
• splorridge estimated 90% on 2016-04-18
• ejlflop estimated 95% on 2016-06-16
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction right on 2017-01-02.