By July 1, 2016, Younes and Rowe's paper claiming to prove that NP is in BQP will not be widely accepted as correct.

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-07-23; known on 2016-07-01; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2016-07-01.

  • JoshuaZ estimated 85% on 2015-07-23
  • JoshuaZ said “Paper is here http://arxiv.org/abs/1507.05061on 2015-07-23
  • DaFranker estimated 95% and said “The paper was pretty heavily slammed down by several experts of the field on reddit, and their previous paper with similar claims never made news. on 2015-07-23
  • JoshuaZ said “DaFranker, link to the Reddit thread? on 2015-07-23
  • JoshuaZ   judged this prediction right on 2016-07-01.

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