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Mars to have detectable non-anthropogenic life on it

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-28; known on 2099-01-01; judged unknown by JoshuaZ on 2015-08-03.

  • InquilineKea estimated 11% on 2015-07-28
  • David estimated 1% on 2015-07-28
  • JoshuaZ estimated 25% on 2015-07-28
  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 10% on 2015-07-28
  • ArturoGoosnargh estimated 60% on 2015-07-29
  • supinf estimated 2% on 2015-07-31
  • espore estimated 20% and said “Could be possibleon 2015-08-02
  • espore   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-08-02.
  • JoshuaZ   judged this prediction unknown on 2015-08-03.
  • Raahul_Kumar estimated 70% and said “I count fossils as meeting this prediction. Even if the lifeforms are dead by the time we find them, it still counts.on 2015-08-08
  • sflicht estimated 10% and said “I assume Raahul’s interpretation is not the official standard?on 2015-09-03
  • JoshuaZ said “Sflicht, I interpreted this as referring to currently extant, not fossils. on 2015-09-03
  • PseudonymousUser said “^Hopefully InquilineKea will get an email in 2099 and will come back to clarify this ;)on 2015-09-04
  • themusicgod1 estimated 8% on 2016-04-14