PredictionBook transitioning to read-only mode at the end of 2023 ( read more ).

Universal basic income will be adopted in at least 50% of the G20 countries within 10 years

Created by sflicht on 2015-08-07; known on 2025-08-08

  • sflicht estimated 20% on 2015-08-07
  • silacoid estimated 3% and said “one can always hope, but it’s luck if it’s one, and after the first one, the rest will at least wait for 5-10 years to see how it goes before they try it themselves…on 2015-08-07
  • Raahul_Kumar estimated 10% and said “You specify an awfully high number! However Basic Income will certainly be more popular in 10 years but 50% is unlikely.on 2015-08-08
  • aarongertler estimated 2% on 2015-08-10
  • JoshuaZ estimated 15% on 2015-08-10
  • Afforess estimated 1% and said “Maybe 1 of the G20 will dabble in it. No chance of 50%.on 2015-08-17
  • Raahul_Kumar estimated 5% and said “I think Sflicht should edit this prediction to enable the 10 year mark, and also the Nederlands is experimenting with Basic Income. Make it 10% of the G-20 and the prediction will probably come true.on 2015-08-19
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 0% and said “If it happens, it’ll take way longer.on 2015-08-20
  • sflicht changed the deadline from “on 2015-08-07on 2015-08-25
  • themusicgod1 estimated 41% and said “20? maybe. They’d have to start doing trial runs in ~9 countries in 3-4…I don’t see it.on 2016-03-22

Please log in to respond to or judge prediction