PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

Conditional on PredictIt still being around by January 1, 2017 I will have doubled my initial set of money on PredictIt by that date.

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-08-11; known on 2017-01-02; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2017-01-02.

  • JoshuaZ estimated 51% on 2015-08-11
  • JoshuaZ estimated 35% on 2015-08-21
  • JoshuaZ said “Updating due to decrease in inefficiencies in the market. ” on 2015-08-21
  • JoshuaZ estimated 41% on 2015-12-14
  • JoshuaZ   judged this prediction right on 2017-01-02.