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I won't get hit by a bus today.

Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-08-12; known on 2015-08-13; judged right by EloiseRosen on 2015-08-13.

  • EloiseRosen estimated 100% on 2015-08-12
  • JoshuaZ estimated 99% on 2015-08-12
  • JoshuaZ estimated 100% and said “Yeah ok. back of the envelope says closer to 100% than 99%. ” on 2015-08-12
  • EloiseRosen   judged this prediction right on 2015-08-13.