More than 25% of durable consumer goods will be 3D printed during 2050

Created by btrettel on 2015-08-12; known on 2051-01-02

• btrettel estimated 20% on 2015-08-12
• btrettel said “Inspiration: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/innovations/wp/2014/09/19/the-coming-era-of-unlimited-and-free-clean-energy/” on 2015-08-12
• JoshuaZ estimated 22% on 2015-08-13
• sflicht estimated 15% and said “I suggest looking at the BEA’s NIPA table 2.3.5. Spending on goods is $4B. Non-durables (clothes, etc) account for 2/3, and seem hard to 3d print. So you have to believe 75% of durables will be 3d printed — seems ambitious” on 2015-08-25
• btrettel changed the deadline from “on 2051-01-01” and changed their prediction from “More than 25% of consumer goods will be 3D printed during 2050” on 2015-08-25
• btrettel said “Good catch. I changed the title to say durable consumer goods, as that’s what my interest was in. Others, take note. I will withdraw this and create a new one if JoshuaZ and sflicht do not acknowledge this change.” on 2015-08-25
• sflicht estimated 25% on 2015-08-25
• sflicht said “Acknowdedged” on 2015-08-25
• sflicht said “*acknowledged” on 2015-08-25
• JoshuaZ said “Acknowledged. ” on 2015-08-25
• Medea said “Does “3D printed” only involves consumer 3D printer or also industrial 3D printers?” on 2015-10-08