Almost all commercial airplanes will have outlets by 2030

Created by cmessinger on 2015-08-17; known on 2030-01-07

  • cmessinger estimated 70% on 2015-08-17
  • JoshuaZ estimated 45% on 2015-08-17
  • btrettel estimated 25% and said “I imagine this would require replacing the plane, so I looked into the average age of current planes (~10 yrs for a small sample) and the frequency of replacement (~20-25 yrs). Roughly half of planes would be replaced by then. Outlets are unlikely.on 2015-08-19
  • JoshuaZ estimated 25% and said “Reducing estimate per btrettelon 2015-08-19
  • Afforess said “How much is almost all? How does one even judge this?on 2015-08-19

Please log in to respond to or judge prediction