Almost all commercial airplanes will have outlets by 2030

Created by cmessinger on 2015-08-17; known on 2030-01-07

• cmessinger estimated 70% on 2015-08-17
• JoshuaZ estimated 45% on 2015-08-17
• btrettel estimated 25% and said “I imagine this would require replacing the plane, so I looked into the average age of current planes (~10 yrs for a small sample) and the frequency of replacement (~20-25 yrs). Roughly half of planes would be replaced by then. Outlets are unlikely.” on 2015-08-19
• JoshuaZ estimated 25% and said “Reducing estimate per btrettel” on 2015-08-19
• Afforess said “How much is almost all? How does one even judge this?” on 2015-08-19