Nothing very spectacular will happen in the stock market in the next couple of months.

Created by mayanju on 2015-08-19; known on 2015-10-16; judged wrong by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2015-10-23.

  • mayanju estimated 90% on 2015-08-19
  • JoshuaZ said “Can we define this more precisely? Maybe certain major markets not moving too much? on 2015-08-19
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 60% on 2015-08-20
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 10% on 2015-08-24
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 6% on 2015-08-24
  • HonoreDB   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-08-24.
  • kuudes   judged this prediction unknown on 2015-08-24.
  • kuudes   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-08-24.
  • kuudes said “Oh, sorry, misread some, so wwithdraw my judgement and sustain HonoreDB’s.on 2015-08-24
  • btrettel   judged this prediction unknown on 2015-08-24.
  • Tapetum-Lucidum said “When will the global selloff be considered spectacular? If things bounce back, is that spectacular too?on 2015-08-24
  • Tapetum-Lucidum   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-08-24.
  • JoshuaZ said “This confusion is exactly why I asked for more precisely defined terms. For what it is worth, the last 24 hours would I think fit a lot of reasonable notions of spectacular. on 2015-08-24
  • btrettel said “JoshuaZ is right. This prediction is totally unclear, and the past day has been pretty unusual. I think this should either be marked as right or withdrawn.on 2015-08-25
  • btrettel   judged this prediction unknown on 2015-08-25.
  • Tapetum-Lucidum said “Alright, my apologies. I’m pretty new here: do these things usually decided by consensus or by the original poster?on 2015-08-26
  • JoshuaZ said “There isn’t really a hard-cut rule about this or anything. I don’t think we have a community consensus about such issues. I think withdrawal by the original person is in order but Mayanju doesn’t seem to be around. on 2015-08-26
  • Tapetum-Lucidum said “Mayanju has been unresponsive, and there were huge price drops in late August and late September, and we “officially” had a market correction (10% decline) in the S&P 500 during this time. on 2015-10-23
  • Tapetum-Lucidum said “In addition, I’m the only one who loses from Mayanju’s absence. Closing as “Wrong” unless Mayanju comes back and objects.on 2015-10-23
  • Tapetum-Lucidum   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-10-23.

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