As of 2015-08-19, Eliezer Yudkowsky has solved the hard problem of consciousness.

Created by Michael Dickens on 2015-08-20; known on 2045-08-20

• Michael Dickens estimated 1% on 2015-08-20
• JoshuaZ estimated 0% on 2015-08-20
• Afforess estimated 0% and said “Be afraid of predictions with multiple conditions. Consciousness may or may not be solved by 2045, but it being solved specifically by EY makes this extremely unlikely.” on 2015-08-20
• Jayson Virissimo said “Who decides whether it is solved? Are you going poll philosophers in 2045 on whether the problem has been solved and whether Eliezer had the correct solution?” on 2015-08-21
• kallman estimated 0% and said “Is it a solvable problem, to everyone’s satisfaction?” on 2015-08-22
• themusicgod1 estimated 9% on 2016-03-22
• two2thehead estimated 0% on 2016-04-21