By January 1, 2035, a superconductor with critical temperature at leas 215 K will be discovered.
Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-08-21; known on 2035-01-01; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2020-10-15.
- JoshuaZ estimated 75% on 2015-08-21
- JoshuaZ said “See also http://predictionbook.com/predictions/50214 and http://predictionbook.com/predictions/70208 and http://predictionbook.com/predictions/132090” on 2015-08-21
- JoshuaZ estimated 85% and said “Updating per https://www.sciencenews.org/article/physics-first-room-temperature-superconductor-discovery . Still needs confirmation. ” on 2020-10-15
- JoshuaZ said “Convinced now that this is reasonably strong enough evidence that we can mark this as correct. ” on 2020-10-15
- JoshuaZ judged this prediction right on 2020-10-15.