Bicycling mortality rate in US will be above 0.16 in 2020

Created by btrettel on 2015-08-22; known on 2021-01-02

• btrettel estimated 50% on 2015-08-22
• btrettel said “Deaths per 100,000. Data from the CDC: http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm6431a1.htm?s_cid=mm6431a1_x” on 2015-08-22
• JoshuaZ estimated 45% on 2015-08-22
• JoshuaZ estimated 45% on 2015-08-22
• btrettel said “Related: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/105045” on 2015-08-24
• btrettel changed the deadline from “on 2021-01-01” and changed their prediction from “Bicycling mortality rate will be above 0.16 in 2020” on 2015-08-24
• btrettel estimated 55% on 2015-08-24