From today until January 1st, 2023 Gangnam Style will remain the world's most viewed YouTube video.

Created by WilliamKiely on 2015-09-07; known on 2023-01-01; judged wrong by kuudes on 2017-07-12.

• WilliamKiely estimated 8% on 2015-09-07
• WilliamKiely said “When making these predictions I realized I don’t know what the shape of my probability distribution should look like. I know it’s not a normal distribution.” on 2015-09-07
• JoshuaZ estimated 15% on 2015-09-07
• olivia estimated 3% on 2015-09-09
• danielfilan estimated 10% on 2015-09-11
• Ben Doherty estimated 10% on 2015-09-11
• kuudes estimated 10% and said “about 8% per model” on 2015-09-15
• kuudes said “basicly http://tinyurl.com/oexj9c3 I took yt top30 list, ordered by publication dates. I est’d 4.3k videos/s added by http://tinyurl.com/on99lxr http://tinyurl.com/ndayhok I counted videos published between dates of top30 vids.” on 2015-09-15
• kuudes said “Est’d that p(t30) ~ logit -23. Used time Baby was #1 and GS #1 calculated the #vids who got to t30 then → 30..40. Est’d amount of vids to end dates with different rates of p(t30 makes #1). +Sorry for the comment packing.” on 2015-09-15
• kuudes said “also http://predictionbook.com/predictions/138023 http://predictionbook.com/predictions/138035 http://predictionbook.com/predictions/138018 and predictions 138019 138020 138021 138022” on 2015-09-15
• ChristianKl estimated 5% on 2015-09-19
• themusicgod1 estimated 8% on 2016-06-24
• kuudes   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-07-12.