PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

I will have submitted two or more papers to academic journals by 2017-01-01

Created by btrettel on 2015-09-07; known on 2017-01-01; judged wrong by btrettel on 2017-01-01.

  • btrettel estimated 70% on 2015-09-07
  • JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2015-09-07
  • btrettel estimated 60% and said “Updating.” on 2015-09-07
  • olivia estimated 65% on 2015-09-09
  • btrettel said “0/2. Overconfidence. I have multiple things in the pipeline, at least.” on 2017-01-01
  • btrettel   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-01-01.