Any of Denmark, Finland, Germany, Luxembourg, Norway or Sweden defaults its sovereign debt in 2015.
Created by kuudes on 2015-09-10; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by kuudes on 2016-01-01.
- kuudes estimated 1% on 2015-09-10
- kuudes said “note http://predictionbook.com/predictions/139604 http://predictionbook.com/predictions/139605 http://predictionbook.com/predictions/139606 http://predictionbook.com/predictions/139607” on 2015-09-10
- kuudes said “and http://predictionbook.com/predictions/139603 http://predictionbook.com/predictions/139602” on 2015-09-10
- kuudes said “Listing some of my 100%s in order to bring a more calibrated exhibition of estimates with these predictions.” on 2015-09-10
- kuudes said “https://www.dbresearch.com/servlet/reweb2.ReWEB?rwnode=DBR_INTERNET_EN-PROD may be useful to people in estimating sovereign default probabilities.” on 2015-09-10
- JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2015-09-10
- olivia estimated 2% on 2015-09-10
- Madplatypus estimated 1% on 2015-09-10
- jbeshir estimated 0% on 2015-09-10
- PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2015-09-11
- mortehu estimated 0% on 2015-09-17
- PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2015-11-16
- PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2015-12-17
- PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2015-12-17
- PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2015-12-17
- PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2015-12-17
- PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2015-12-17
- PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2015-12-17
- PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2015-12-17
- PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2015-12-17
- PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2015-12-17
- PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2015-12-17
- PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2015-12-17
- PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2015-12-17
- daniel74f estimated 0% on 2016-01-01
- kuudes judged this prediction wrong on 2016-01-01.