Donald Trump will lose the Iowa caucuses.

Created by KBVMD on 2015-09-13; known on 2016-02-01; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2016-02-02.

• KBVMD estimated 85% on 2015-09-13
• PseudonymousUser estimated 68% on 2015-09-13
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2015-09-14
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 55% and said ““Lose” is a little ambiguous in the context of a primary; I’ll assume we mean “not come in first”.” on 2015-09-14
• JoshuaZ said “That was also how I interpreted it. ” on 2015-09-14
• PseudonymousUser estimated 60% on 2015-10-20
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 90% and said “Cruz leads in Realclearpolitics average of polls.http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ia/iowa_republican_presidential_caucus-3194.html” on 2016-01-02
• ioannes estimated 55% on 2016-01-17
• lalaithion estimated 52% on 2016-02-01
• PseudonymousUser estimated 20% on 2016-02-01
• silacoid estimated 40% on 2016-02-01
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 50% and said “Unfortunately the Great Persuader has surged in the polls.” on 2016-02-02
• JoshuaZ estimated 75% and said “62% reported with Cruz at 28.3% and Trump at 25.0.” on 2016-02-02
• PseudonymousUser estimated 95% on 2016-02-02
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction right on 2016-02-02.